PENGARUH ASIMILASI DATA PENGINDERAAN JAUH (RADAR DAN SATELIT) PADA PREDIKSI CUACA NUMERIK UNTUK ESTIMASI CURAH HUJAN

Abstract

One of the main problems in numerical weather modeling was the inaccuracy of initial condition data (initial conditions). This study reinforced the influence of assimilation of remote sensing observation data on initial conditions for predictive numerical rainfall in BMKG radar area Tangerang (Province of Banten and DKI Jakarta) on January 24, 2016. The procedure applied to rainfall forecast was the Weather Research and Forecasting model (WRF) with a down-to-down multi-nesting technique from Global Forecast System (GFS) output, the model was assimilated to radar and satellite image observation data using WRF Data Assimilation (WRFDA) 3DVAR system. Data was used as preliminary data from surface observation data, EEC C-Band radar data, AMSU-A satellite sensor data and MHS sensors. The analysis was done qualitatively by looking at the measurement scale. Observation data was used to know rainfall data. The results of the study showed that producing rainfall predictions with different assimilation of data produced different predictions. In general, there were improvements in the rainfall predictions with assimilation of satellite data was showing the best results.